Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.007839 0.009193 0.010811 0.012918 0.015635 0.019086 0.023915
2025-07-13 0.006367 0.008077 0.010370 0.013784 0.018961 0.026942 0.041178
2025-07-20 0.005450 0.007272 0.009907 0.014218 0.021604 0.034954 0.064796
2025-07-27 0.004755 0.006577 0.009362 0.014256 0.023507 0.042691 0.096032
2025-08-03 0.004257 0.006062 0.008949 0.014343 0.025469 0.051775 0.144060
2025-08-10 0.003782 0.005499 0.008338 0.013890 0.026146 0.058420 0.198644
2025-08-17 0.003350 0.004945 0.007645 0.013106 0.025797 0.062209 0.253106
2025-08-24 0.003019 0.004516 0.007104 0.012503 0.025668 0.066732 0.330083
2025-08-31 0.002853 0.004346 0.007004 0.012787 0.027899 0.081356 0.566496
2025-09-07 0.002637 0.004063 0.006651 0.012446 0.028314 0.089763 0.836398
2025-09-14 0.002431 0.003779 0.006263 0.011948 0.028113 0.095613 1.179653
2025-09-21 0.002303 0.003623 0.006104 0.011957 0.029493 0.111225 2.247174
2025-09-28 0.002205 0.003526 0.006078 0.012358 0.032653 0.144766 8.681981
2025-10-05 0.002147 0.003501 0.006199 0.013185 0.038019 0.211608 608.519271
2025-10-12 0.002061 0.003409 0.006165 0.013594 0.042170 0.290498 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001956 0.003272 0.006011 0.013630 0.044823 0.372772 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001866 0.003153 0.005883 0.013712 0.047863 0.492122 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001753 0.002980 0.005610 0.013286 0.048055 0.567015 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001632 0.002782 0.005259 0.012548 0.046156 0.583183 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001531 0.002619 0.004975 0.011980 0.044995 0.620811 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001485 0.002566 0.004948 0.012248 0.049066 0.910917 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001411 0.002450 0.004757 0.011926 0.049261 1.069207 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001336 0.002325 0.004534 0.011457 0.048237 1.161246 NaN